Iran is refraining from striking Israel partially due to fears of Hezbollah's collapse in Lebanon if fighting resumes with Israel, according to retired military Lt.-Col. (res.) Or Horowitz, a senior fellow at the Jewish People Policy Institute (JPPI) and former head of the military intelligence Hezbollah desk.
The US State Department announced earlier this week that activity had begun in three "pilot zones" in Lebanon, in the villages of Froun, Srifa, and Zawtar al-Gharbiya. According to the American announcement, the move is being carried out under the tripartite framework between the US, Israel, and Lebanon, and under the auspices of the military coordination group established to implement the understandings.
Horowitz argued that he is seeing a significant weakening of the Hezbollah terrorist organization. "A historic change is taking shape in Lebanon. Hezbollah is in a weaker state than ever before, Horowitz said. "On the other side, there is a brave president; he wants to end the hostility once and for all. At the end of the day, he is a politician; he wants to avoid a civil war and being murdered himself, and despite that, he is making very brave moves." He then analyzed the expansion of Lebanese Armyactivity in the area alongside Hezbollah's weakening. (Read More)
