In this section of the August 2026 episode of FO
Exclusive, Atul Singh and Glenn Carle warn that the Iran war is disrupting the
energy, fertilizer and shipping systems that modern agriculture depends on.
These disruptions combined with other factors could reduce harvests, drive food
inflation and starve millions. Notably, poorer countries face the risk of
famine, social unrest and political destabilization.
Editor-in-Chief Atul Singh and FOI Senior Partner Glenn
Carle, a retired CIA officer who now advises companies, governments and
organizations on geopolitical risk, examine how the US–Israeli war against Iran
could precipitate a global food crisis. Disrupted energy and fertilizer
supplies, rising shipping costs, weakening currencies and an exceptionally
powerful El Niño threaten harvests around the world. Atul and Glenn warn that
the resulting hunger could trigger social unrest, sovereign defaults and political
upheaval, particularly across Africa, the Middle East and South Asia.
Food inflation threatens political stability
As pointed out repeatedly by Atul and Glenn, the Hormuz
crisis has caused a massive energy and fertilizer crisis. This global crisis is
increasing food inflation. Monetary policies are worsening this inflation.
International staples such as wheat, corn and soybeans
are priced in dollars. As FOI has pointed out repeatedly, post-Covid monetary
easing debased the dollar. As many have noticed, groceries cost far more than
before.
In poorer countries, this inflation is a lot worse. Many
currencies in emerging markets are depreciating against the dollar. Thanks to
the exchange-rate multiplier effect, food prices are rising in many poorer
countries even faster than in the US. Note that high food prices helped trigger
the Arab Uprisings at the end of 2010.
Glenn emphasizes the political consequences of the
upheavals in 2010. Food inflation did not single-handedly cause the Arab
Uprisings. Corruption, unemployment, repression and political exclusion had
already generated deep frustration. Yet rising prices transformed those
grievances into household emergencies. Governments become far more vulnerable
when families can no longer afford bread. As Atul says repeatedly, “revolutions
depend on the price of bread.” (Read More / Watch)
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Senior Reseaarcher Brad Myers comments;
Could there come a time in the future when poor and
middle-class families all over the world, including in the US, Canada, and the
UK, will no longer be able to afford a loaf of wheat bread, because it will
cost a full day's pay?
Are current global trends in 2026 pointing toward a
worldwide financial collapse ? Across the globe, do we see wars spreading,
famine threatening fragile regions, and essential commodities like food and
fuel becoming increasingly expensive and scarce, all while the wealth gap
between the rich and the poor continues to widen?
Do you know where
all these global trends are leading in the future, and whether they will lead
to what we see in Revelation 6:5–6?