Despite Trump's temporary pause announcement, the Iran war tensions remain high with ongoing strikes and military build-ups. The disruption of Strait of Hormuz oil routes is not over, signalling continued instability and no clear path to de-escalation. Why it's not over till it's over.
Is the Iran war over? There are many conflicting reports on the status of the ongoing US–Israel–Iran conflict, hours after US President Donald Trump on Monday (Mar 23) announced a five-day pause on attacks on Iranian energy and power infrastructure. There is widespread scepticism about the war ending any time soon, as attacks and counterattacks continue, and little has changed regarding the Strait of Hormuz blockade. Here are eight reasons the war is far from over:
1. US Marines continue to reach CENTCOM for Middle East deployment
2. Iran, US and Israel continue air strikes and missile attacks
3. Strait of Hormuz situation remains unchanged
4. No confirmation from Iran on negotiations or talks, as Arab nations remain sceptical
5. Brent crude oil prices remain volatile and above $100 per barrel
6. Only speculative reporting on diplomatic negotiations
7. Gulf states reassessing their strategic posture
8. Core geopolitical issues remain unresolved
Perspective: It is not over till...but who will have to sing to end the Iran - US - Israel war?
In summary, the US–Israel–Iran conflict has not ended. Despite the announcement of a temporary pause, ongoing military operations, unresolved disputes, disruption of energy markets, and the absence of verified diplomatic progress point towards an uneasy calm at best, and a highly volatile situation that could lead to another flare-up, at worst. Trump's five-day pause appears to be a tactical move rather than a definitive step towards peace, with the risk of further escalation still firmly present. (Ed note: Interesting thoughts from WION.) (Read More)
