The world faces the single most dangerous scenario in modern history: a regime with no future, no exit strategy and a “loose nuke” capability.
While the world watches the “Winter Uprising” in the streets of Tehran with breathless optimism, Western intelligence agencies are watching the satellite feeds with cold terror. Headline length: 76 character(s) – should be up to 60 characters While the world watches the “Winter Uprising” in the streets of Tehran with breathless optimism, Western intelligence agencies are watching the satellite feeds with cold terror.
The crowds chanting “Javid Shah” believe they are witnessing the end of a tyranny. They are right. But what the diplomats and cheering spectators are missing is the terrifying reality unfolding in the dark: The Islamic Republic is no longer a state; it is a cornered, decapitated terror cell sitting on 400 kilograms of missing enriched uranium. The prevailing narrative—that the 12-day war last June destroyed Iran’s nuclear program—is a dangerous simplification. It destroyed the facilities. It did not destroy the fuel.
According to a confidential report by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) circulated late last year, the agency has “lost continuity of knowledge” regarding approximately 400 kilograms of uranium enriched to 60%. That is a short technical hop from weapons-grade. While U.S. Vice President JD Vance recently insisted on Fox News that the material is likely “buried” under the rubble of Natanz, Rafael Grossi, director general of the IAEA, has quietly warned that the material may have been moved to “safe houses” prior to the strikes.
...The danger is compounded by the fact that the regime is cannibalizing itself. Since the death of Hossein Salami, commander-in-chief of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, in the June airstrikes, the monolithic security apparatus has fractured. We are witnessing a “Rat King” scenario where the Ministry of Intelligence (MOIS) and the remnants of the IRGC are fighting for dominance over the dying body of the state.
...This fragmentation of command and control makes the “missing” uranium even more volatile. Who controls it now? The new IRGC chief, Ahmad Vahidi? Or a rogue MOIS faction looking for leverage?
...The “Samson Option” for Tehran isn’t a pristine nuclear launch; they lack the delivery systems. It is a radiological “dirty bomb,” smuggled through the chaotic borders or detonated in a final stand. The “missing” 400kg of HEU is enough to render the Strait of Hormuz unnavigable or to turn Tel Aviv into a radioactive exclusion zone for decades. (Read More)
...The “Samson Option” for Tehran isn’t a pristine nuclear launch; they lack the delivery systems. It is a radiological “dirty bomb,” smuggled through the chaotic borders or detonated in a final stand. The “missing” 400kg of HEU is enough to render the Strait of Hormuz unnavigable or to turn Tel Aviv into a radioactive exclusion zone for decades. (Read More)
