Monday, September 9, 2024

Will Iran’s response be nuclear?

Dr. Salem AlKetbiis a UAE political analyst

Iran has vowed revenge against Israel for the elimination of Hamas political bureau chief Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran, on which Israel has not commented.

On Saturday, the IRGC's Brigadier General Mohammad Reza Naqdi emphasized that the Iranian response is "certain," but added that it will be carried out at a time when Iran deems appropriate.

Iran and Israel tacitly acknowledge that direct military confrontation would have devastating consequences for both countries, effectively ruling out the possibility of a full-scale war. Iran, however, appears to be seeking a face-saving exit from the crisis precipitated by the assassination of Hamas terror group’s political bureau chief on its soil. This event is a historic humiliation that will likely haunt the Iranian regime indefinitely.

Claims about the Iranian regime’s desire to maintain credibility are misplaced, as this credibility has long since eroded. It’s widely recognized in the region and beyond that the regime’s repeated threats following attacks on its political and military leaders, as well as researchers and experts, are primarily for domestic consumption and quickly fade from international attention. READ MORE