Former US national security adviser John Bolton said on Thursday that, when Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei dies (he is 84 years old), the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) would be vulnerable and a democratic transition more plausible.
Speaking at a Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs (JPCA) webinar on “Supporting Iran’s Quest for Democracy and the Urgency of Europe Proscribing Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps,” Bolton noted that Khamenei has been sick many times, and that the Islamic Republic has no real clear path for the transition of power.
This meant, said Bolton, that pressure on the IRGC leading to that moment and in that moment could strike it at its weakest time.
Conversely, he warned that if the IRGC was not under pressure, it could also become an even more powerful and decisive force in Iran at that transition moment.
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This means that pressure on the IRGC, both leading up to and at that moment, would leave it vulnerable for a strike against it at its weakest time. At the same time, however, Bolton warned that if the IRGC were pressured, it could alternatively become even more powerful. READ MORE