This is what John Hayward, a retired Maths professor, foresees after analyzing the growth and loss rates of church groups in England, Wales and Scotland.
His statistical model forecasts that if the loss of members of Protestant churches such as the Welsh Presbyterian Church, the Church of England, and the Scottish Episcopal Church, continues, they may face extinction.
Hayward's study also finds that most churches growing (those with a "reproduction potential higher than 1") in the UK were founded after 1900 and share an evangelical theology.
Among the church groups growing (between 2% and 6% per year between 2015 and 2020) are Vineyard, Redeemed Church of God, FIEC, New Frontiers, and Elim. They all have in common a high view of the authority of the Bible and a focus on mission. READ MORE
