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Tuesday, December 28, 2021

Ignore the bluff, Israel won't attack Iran post-deal - analysis

Yes, it is important for Israel to point out that it can act independently against Iran’s nuclear program even if the US and the world powers reach a new nuclear deal in Vienna.

But does anyone really believe Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and Foreign Minister Yair Lapid when they repeat the mantra that a deal – even a bad one – will not at least for some period of time freeze Israeli operations against the Islamic Republic?
If history has any lessons, one is that a new nuclear deal – as long as it freezes Tehran’s forward nuclear progress – will shift the Mossad and IDF intelligence from planning attacks to collecting intelligence in order to highlight Iranian cheating.


This is what happened after the 2015 JCPOA – and no one can accuse former prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu or his Mossad director from 2016-2021, Yossi Cohen, of being bashful about using force against the nuclear program.
Yet, from the July 2015 deal until July 2020, there were no major game-changing attack operations. READ MORE